![]() ![]() RSJ’S XFP TOOL: CARRIES, TARGETS, AND AIR YARDS FOR EVERY PLAYER These historical data attributes correlate highly with actual fantasy points scored (PPR scoring).įor more information on Expected Fantasy Points and to utilize our XFP data tool, click the link below: XFP calculates the value of each target and rushing attempt based on the distance to the end zone and air yards. This column contains data from the same games with all of the same injury adjustments as the PPG column. Guys like Saquon Barkley and Antonio Gibson who played injured last year were not adjusted unless they left a specific game early with an injury. I believe makes more sense to have a picture of how good a player is when playing and consider injury risk separately. In addition, meaningless Week 18 games were removed for a few players who saw a drastically reduced snap share.įor example, Christian McCaffrey‘s numbers increased significantly when removing the games he left early. When calculating these values, I removed all games where a player got injured and left the game early while missing a significant amount of their normal snaps. This column is based on all 2021 games, including the NFL playoffs. That is why Burrow is listed as a “Strong Sell” and Watson a “Buy,” but Burrow is ranked above Watson on the chart. ![]() I would simply trade Burrow later either for Watson plus other assets, or a different QB. However, if I was choosing between Watson and Burrow today in a startup, I would still take Burrow because his market value is much higher than Watson’s. I believe he will ultimately be the better fantasy producer. Deshaun Watson averages 22.3 fantasy points per game for his career. The opposite is true for players labeled “Sell.”įor example, Joe Burrow has a sky-high market value despite producing only 19.0 fantasy points per game last season. The ranks and tier values take market value into account, so I believe players labeled “Buy” will either produce more fantasy points than their market value indicates or increase in market value in the future. I would look to trade away players labeled “Strong Sell” or “Sell” if you can get market value in return. I would look to target players in trades labeled “Strong Buy” or “Buy” if you can acquire them for market value. The rankings take market value into account. Players within the same tier are very similar, and I would usually like to trade players at the top of a tier for a lower-ranked player in the same tier if I can get draft picks or other assets on top. I recommend focusing more on the trade value tier than the rank column. This column contains my dynasty rankings by position. For example, a player worth three first-round picks would be roughly equivalent to a player worth two first-round picks, plus a different player worth one first-round pick. Players and picks can be combined to create fair offers. This column provides the rough market value for each player in terms of draft capital.
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